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Good evening mes amis.
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EURUSD
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The EURO spiked again this evening in wave ‘c’ of ‘ii’.
The price has now reached above the 62% retracement level of wave ‘i’.
Price must not break above 1.1419 in wave ‘ii’,
if it does then the alternate count will be triggered
and we will have to wait again for wave ‘3’ down to arrive at a later date.
Tomorrow;
The rise off the wave ‘i’ low is still best viewed as a three wave corrective rally,
Watch for wave ‘ii’ to complete tomorrow and wave ‘iii’ down to begin.
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[_s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_ccap_gbpusd)]
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GBPUSD
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Cable rallied today in wave ‘c’ of (v) which has triggered the alternate count.
The new count will allow for one more high at about 1.3400 at the upper trend line again.
this will complete an ending diagonal wave [c],
and then we can expect an impulsive decline into wave [i] of ‘3’.
Tomorrow;
Watch for wave ‘c’ of (v) to complete at the trendline which should be enough to finish the correction in wave ‘2’.
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[_s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_ccap_usdjpy)]
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USDJPY
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USDJPY began the descent into wave (c) today after completing wave (b) at Tuesdays high.
Wave (c) down should trace out a five wave pattern as shown.
And the target for wave (c) lies at support of 110.35 again at the previous fourth wave low.
This three wave decline will complete wave [ii]
and when it completes,
we can look higher again into wave [iii] up.
Tomorrow;
Watch for wave (c) to continue lower towards the initial target at 110.35.
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[_s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_ccap_dow_jones)]
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DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS
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The DOW made a slight new high today above the high registered on Tuesday.
The rise off wave (i) has completed three waves up,
and we are in the target range for a second wave retracement
between 50% and 62% of wave (i).
So the price should turn lower tomorrow to begin wave (iii) down.
It is also possible that the rally off the recent low is only wave ‘iv’ of (i).
This would allow for another drop in wave ‘v’ of (i) tomorrow.
Tomorrow;
Watch for wave ‘i’ of (iii) lower to begin with a push towards 25208 again.
26241 must hold.
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[_s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_ccap_gold)]
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GOLD
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GOLD is rising again today in a possible wave ‘3’ of ‘i’ of (v).
The rally has broken back above 1310 again,
although the action is a little stunted for a third wave.
The rally has traced out three waves so far,
So this must continue further and complete a clear five wave pattern in wave ‘i’.
Also,
I would prefer to see the price stay above 1300 for the remainder of wave ‘i’ up.
Tomorrow;
Watch for wave ‘i’ to continue higher in five waves.
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[_s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_ccap_crude)]
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U.S CRUDE OIL
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Crude has confirmed the new wave count today with a break above 58.00 again.
I am staying with the idea that this is an ending diagonal wave ‘C’,
as the pattern can be nicely broken into five ‘3’ wave moves.
The price is now rising in wave (c) of [v],
with wave (c) now tracing out a five wave move higher.
Tomorrow;
The target remains at the upper trend line and the 50% retracement level at 59.60.
We will most likely see a break into the 60.00 handle again to complete wave ‘C’.
This will be followed by shouts of ‘bull market’ across the financial media again.
We might even see more euphoria surrounding this second wave top,
than we did at the October highs last year.
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[_s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_ccap_us10yr)]
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US 10 yr Treasuries.
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The 10YR is slowly but surely turning lower off the recent highs.
The price has found resistance at the trend channels.
And we should see five waves lower develop now in wave ‘i’ of (c).
A break of 122.35 will signal that the turn is in for wave (c).
Tomorrow;
Watch for the high at 122.95 to hold and wave ‘i’ of (c) to continue lower.
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SILVER
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The market has stalled today in a corrective form.
I have shown a slightly different take on wave ‘i’ this evening.
Wave ‘2’ of ‘i’ could now be underway,
There is a small three wave rise visible into todays highs.
This is viewed as part of an expanded flat wave ‘2’.
Wave ‘2’ should complete tomorrow with a drop back into 15.30 again.
And then wave ‘3’ should push back up to about 16.00 again.
Tomorrow;
watch for wave ‘2’ to close out and a rally to begin in wave ‘3’ of ‘i’.
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[_s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_ccap_sp500)]
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S&P 500.
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The S&P made a new high this evening and ruled out the expanded flat idea.
We are fast cycling through the wave count alternates now.
In the longer term wave count,
the scene is already set for a large degree sell-off.
All that is happening now on the short term chart,
is that last set of minor degree subdivisions are playing out.
This will soon end and finish off this run up off the December lows.
The decline to follow, will send shivers down the spine of the bulls.
Tomorrow;
Wave (v) of [c] now has a completed five wave internal structure.
The market must now again work on a lower high off the final top.
Watch for wave ‘v’ of (v) to complete tomorrow and we may even see the turn down begin into wave (i).
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